Having already spent nearly 8000 florins and always taking the highest chance offered (10%+), I have won precisely 0 special building pieces or even upgrades. This time I have absolutely zero confidence of being able to achieve that. During all of that time I have never once failed to complete an event and have always secured the "Grand Prize". Except for a period when I had no internet access, I have played on this server for over 6 years now. I would like to give you some idea of how bad this event really is. But the payout is probably better distributed between players if only the 15% game is played. Since it adds 15 florins to the pot, every ticket is worth 15 florins (+5 florins from the starting 100) instead of 10 florins with the 100% game or 10 florins (+7,5 from the starting 50) with the 15% game. Still, I also would like to see selection kits (for each building) instead of separate building and upgrade specials - because what sense does it make to gamble for the upgrade if it is not yet sure, that the basic building will be won.Īlso, from a game theory point of view, everybody should only play the 5% game. Also I want to add that I had no trouble getting the needed upgrades last year - but maybe I was lucky. So statistically speaking it should be a lot easier to complete the set this time than it was to complete the bridge last time. There are 16 more quests (about 2000 florins + 40 tickets more) than last year and quest rewards (at least of the earlier quests) give significantly more florins - also there are 3000 extra florins in the milestones and the event runs about 2 days (or even 3) days longer (48 more tickets).Ħ590 (if all tickets are used in the 100% game - 21day x 24 +135 from quests + 20 from milestone)Ī total of about 19000 florins even without any gambling. In the mean, the Chests have about a 10% chance for the special and cost about 200 florins - this leads to about 16000 needed florins (rough estimate).
This year we will need 8 pieces from the chests for the full upgraded set. Statistically this meant that about 13600 florins were needed for the 4 needed upgrades Grand Bridge upgrade was available in one chest florins with 20%.
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